Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 4.132070 4.445738 4.781959 5.170923 5.610743 6.095305 6.673226
2025-05-11 3.604723 4.038391 4.533979 5.149321 5.903089 6.810418 8.007841
2025-05-18 3.263657 3.753476 4.337457 5.098756 6.086696 7.358525 9.179792
2025-05-25 2.975041 3.484967 4.111483 4.957814 6.104951 7.661608 10.045843
2025-06-01 2.765437 3.288310 3.946848 4.863491 6.153550 7.988400 10.980297
2025-06-08 2.632847 3.174753 3.873396 4.874282 6.336040 8.516656 12.315792
2025-06-15 2.542343 3.106421 3.850032 4.945577 6.605605 9.206106 14.069914
2025-06-22 2.382429 2.934169 3.671355 4.776201 6.489227 9.258033 14.686556
2025-06-29 2.258333 2.802565 3.539212 4.661869 6.442559 9.413120 15.530148
2025-07-06 2.154023 2.691937 3.428843 4.569630 6.418614 9.598975 16.477218
2025-07-13 2.082258 2.622264 3.371867 4.552662 6.513621 10.007302 18.016619
2025-07-20 2.048383 2.603393 3.386179 4.645686 6.801491 10.818074 20.767084
2025-07-27 2.008527 2.577008 3.392140 4.733307 7.104486 11.746229 24.328013
2025-08-03 1.943880 2.512186 3.337485 4.719223 7.225782 12.334551 27.298367
2025-08-10 1.877244 2.441040 3.268725 4.675426 7.285422 12.801028 30.177815
2025-08-17 1.796895 2.346052 3.158051 4.551986 7.177904 12.866920 31.748481
2025-08-24 1.731683 2.270904 3.074481 4.469218 7.141333 13.095133 34.095558
2025-08-31 1.691706 2.231787 3.045272 4.478693 7.290057 13.808544 38.980224
2025-09-07 1.665778 2.212590 3.046313 4.541258 7.555079 14.886643 46.696118
2025-09-14 1.597364 2.125943 2.934753 4.392520 7.355637 14.669988 47.608301
2025-09-21 1.542614 2.058596 2.851956 4.291917 7.251866 14.707300 50.102811
2025-09-28 1.494845 2.000473 2.781871 4.210635 7.182809 14.833451 53.360487
2025-10-05 1.462759 1.965603 2.748502 4.195670 7.260007 15.411304 60.480338